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Lots of lefties working today. All 4 starters: As of this post only Lynchburg game is complete.

Melkis Hernandez [who's he?] for Lynchburg, 4 innings 5 runs.
But the Hillcats rallied for a 10-8 win. Hawke with 2 singles a walk and his 9th and 10th steals.
Francisca walk and 3rd steal.
Luis Merejo 18 year old 1B of interest, doubled and hit his second homer, walked, batted in 3.
Jose Pirela 19 year old CF doubled and tripled, his 2nd of each.

Josh Hartle looking much better than his debut; 3 innings in the books, 1 unearned run, 5 strikeouts 1 walk; Pittsburgh 3rd round pick last summer, age 22
Hot Jose Devers with his 4th double

Akron gave Rodney Boone a 6-run first inning, and he replied in kind with 3 2/3 shutout innings, with 8 strikeouts
Joe's guy Dayan Frias with a 3 run homer, his 2nd;

Allard 5 ok innings in Columbus, 5-4-2-2-2-3
Cody Bolton recently acquired from Seattle with a 3 up 3 down 2 on strikes debut inning
Will Dion follows in relief
JRod NoK's in 3 at bats; longest streak of the season.
Brennan 1-3, Cairo 2-2

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Lefty Parker Messick with a 0.00 ERA after two starts goes today for the Clippers.
Righty Tommy Mace with 1.80 ERA after two starts works for the RDucks today. Returned to the lineup: Kahlil Watson OF/IF yesterday; SS Yordes Valdes today
Lefty Mtts Wilkinson, not a super start 4.50 after 2 starts on the hill for Lake County
18 year old hot prospect Doughty with his 3rd start for Lake County, game underway, he's done with his work, line similar to the previous two: 3 2/3 3 4 2 2 4 4.22 ERA

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10 Low-A MLB Prospects Ready To Rise Up Rankings In 2025


Image credit: Franklin Arias (Mike Janes/Four Seam Images)

This early in the season, we’re all navigating the world of small samples.

Some of that data holds meaningful signal, but how do we tease that out from noise? Simple: If a player I like is performing well, that’s proof I was right. If he’s struggling? Small sample size.

Okay, maybe that’s not the best way to analyze players. But leaning into information that confirms our priors and brushing aside anything that contradicts them is an easy trap for us to fall into this time of year.

What we might find, though, is a pitcher throwing his fastball harder than in previous years or a hitter showing more power by reaching a new high in exit velocity. It might be something like a hitter with a tangible swing change or a pitcher flashing improved stuff that suggests a change in his current true talent level.

The most interesting level to look at this time of year is Low-A. It’s where we’re getting our first official game looks at many 2024 high school draftees, plenty of international prospects are making their full-season debuts and where we’re typically seeing the youngest players who are in games right now before the complex leagues begin.

Today, we’re looking at 10 prospects in Low-A off to hot starts who I’m buying in on. We’re excluding any prospects already ranked in the top 50 (you already know Brewers No. 1 prospect Jesus Made is good). Instead, this group includes players who in the back half of the Top 100 Prospects list, players with the upside to jump into the Top 100 and sleeper prospects to keep an eye on.

SEE BELOW FOR ONE OF OURS

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In the category: Potential Top 100 Prospects

Braylon Doughty, RHP, Guardians

In a farm system that leans heavily on hitters, Doughty is one of Cleveland’s best pitching prospects and could make himself a more nationally known name by the end of the year.

The Guardians signed Doughty out of high school as a supplemental first-round pick (No. 36 overall) in 2024. The 19-year-old has recorded 10 strikeouts and walked only one of the 31 batters he’s faced through seven innings, showing starter traits with the stuff to pile up empty swings. A prolific strike-thrower, Doughty complements a low-to-mid 90s fastball with an outstanding curveball. His curve—a pitch he’s thrown more often than his fastball when facing righthanded hitters—has extremely tight rotation and sharp bite to continue as a high swing-and-miss offering as he moves up the ladder.

His changeup was behind the rest of his stuff in high school, but in his last start, he used it to get multiple whiffs, including a particularly good one with heavy tumble for an empty swing against White Sox outfielder Braden Montgomery, a 2024 first-round pick and current Top 100 prospect.

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2025 Cleveland Guardians Prospect Scouting Report: #16 INF Welbyn Francisca
Can Francisca refine his approach as he matures, and how high is his true ceiling?
Justin Lada
Apr 16






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Bio

Age (2025 season): 22

Acquired: International Free Agent (2023)

2024 Level: Single-A

Height: 5’8

Weight: 130

Bats: Switch

Throws: Right

2025 Scouting Grades

Hit: 50

Power: 45

Speed: 55

Defense: 50

Arm: 50

Overall: 45

Risk: High

ETA: 2028

First Impression

Small frame but impressive bat speed and swing. High energy type player. Strong for size.
What Makes Francsica Fun

Francsica embodies a lot of the qualities that the Guardians covet, for a reason. Switch hitter who swings bigger than his size but makes contact, above average-to-plus runner up the middle. That profile sizzles as a teenager, especially in this system. It’s the similar qualities of former Cleveland top prospects. It’s a great package in the sense of growth potential, despite Francsica’s undersized frame. He appears to possess a good understanding of pitch recognition at his current level and control of the strike zone - for the level. He’s got a pretty similar swing from both sides of the plate and so far hasn’t shown any platoon splits. He gets out of the box well, showing above average to plus run times to first and on the bases. He’s an athletic defender around the bag at second base and good body control. Seems to pull the ball well. It’s an exciting starting package for a teenager to grow from.

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What Could Hold Francisca Back

Growing could be the issue for Francsica. Right now, it’s a lot of ground balls from his swing. He doesn’t hit the ball particularly hard, but not completely underwhelming. But he needs more impact from it, which is why I particularly don’t buy high on these types. It’s a lot of Jose Tena and Brayan Rocchio’s, which are fine, but not special. You want the Jose Ramirez types, and Ramire was undersized in A ball at 18 and didn’t always hit the ball hard or in the air. But not everyone is going to be Jose Ramirez and trying to find those types are like playing the lottery. Cleveland has tried to find more in recent years with no luck. He struck out more than Ramirez did in A ball. Francsica will need to improve contact quality, make better contact in 2025 to show those tools translate to on-field success. His arm could hold him back to second base, but he moves well enough to be a plus second baseman, probably a more average shortstop.
Key Metric

.379 - Francsica had a high BABIP in 2024. Two things prop up abnormally high BABIPs (which typically range .280-.310, though there are outliers in both directions) - great speed or high exit velocities. Francisca doesn’t have next level exit velos as of now, but is an above average to plus runner. Even so, those BABIPs are still incredibly hard to sustain and we need to see what he can do at a normalized rate for his skill set.
Intangibles

High energy types like Francsica, Genao and Rocchio tend to play well in the lower minors and exhibit hard work ethic and joy for the game, which Cleveland loves.
Future

Expect Francisca to start back at Single-A Lynchburg early in 2025 with the hopes of reaching High-A Lake County sometime in the second half, depending on his own success and who occupies the middle infield in Lake County most of 2025. Cleveland has been pretty slow and methodical about their teenage hitters. Angel Genao spent three separate times at Single-A in the past, though some of that was due to injuries, but Francisca could spend most of the year in Single-A in 2025, with the end of it in Lake County, hopefully. He tracks now as potentially average regular up the middle somewhere with contact skills, speed and a good defender at second.
Role/Risk

45/High - Fringe to average regular up the middle depending on middle-infield defense and contact quality - potentially utility infielder
"I've suffered a great many tragedies in my life....most of them never happened". Mark Twain

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report on Wednesday games follows:

SCOREBOARD
Columbus Clippers 5, Louisville Bats 4 -
Erie Seawolves 4, Akron RubberDucks 0
Fort Wayne TinCaps 4, Lake County Captains 3
Salem Red Sox 9, Lynchburg Hillcats 7

HIGHLIGHTS
Kody Huff (C, Columbus): 3-4, 1 RBI, 1 CS - Huff rebounded from a hitless series opener to make it three multi-hit games out of his last four, a stretch during which he is 7-for-16 with four RBI. While Kody only had one RBI last night, his at-bats actually resulted in a pair of tallies as the second Clipper run scored as he reached on a fourth-inning throwing error by Bats 2B Tyler Callihan. [well regarded defender; he's likely to be a long-time major league #2 catcher]

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Parker Messick (SP, Columbus): ND, 5 IP, 4 H, 4 R (all earned), 3 BB, 7 K, 2 HR allowed - the first time through the order, Messick was unstoppable. Nine up. Nine down. Three strikeouts, all of them swinging. Only LF Jacob Hurtubise got the ball out of the infield (inning-ending flyout to his counterpart Johnathan Rodriguez to end the top of the third). 29 pitches. Six whiffs (part of a total of 19 that led all of Triple-A yesterday). Eight more on the strike zone that Louisville hitters just looked at. Then came the second go-round After a top of the fourth that felt more like a home run derby, Parker got out of a bases-loaded jam allowing only one run to end his outing on a positive note. While the two chapters of his outing fit neatly with the first and second trips through the lineup, there’s also the issue of his entire arsenal being down about 1 MPH after the third, which could not have helped the situation.


Andrew Walters (RP, Columbus): 1 IP, perfect, 2 K - Walters continued his dominant start to the season with a perfect eighth that took only 14 pitches (nine strikes) to complete. What makes this outing extra-notable is that it might be his last in a minor league contest if the speculation regarding a possible Triston McKenzie DFA becomes reality as Andrew is the presumed frontrunner for the resulting callup.

Matt Wilkinson (SP, Lake County): ND, 5 IP, 3 H, 1 BB, 8 K - Tugboat resumed normal service on Wednesday night with this dominant outing that seems to suggest last Thursday’s three-run debacle was largely a result of the unplayable conditions (Every so often, I have to look at my scorecard to remind myself that said game was, in fact, not a fever dream.). As long as the forecast isn’t for sideways rain, a Wikinson start is a game not to be missed.


Steven Perez (RP, Lake County): BS (1), 3 IP, 1 H, 1 R (earned), 5 K, 1 HR allowed - While a lack of early (or middle) run support meant one bad pitch was enough to stick Perez with the first of two blown Captains saves on the night, Steven was otherwise spectacular in an outing that kept his prodigious strikeout clip (14.29 K/9) going.

Alfonsin Rosario (DH, Lake County): 2-4, 1 R, 2 2B, 1 RBI, 2 K - Rosario extended his season-opening seven-game on-base streak as well as a six-game hit streak with his second and third doubles of the season for his first official multi-hit game in the Guardians org. Alfonsin’s eighth-inning double capped off the evening’s scoring for the Eastlake nine with his sixth RBI in only 30 plate appearances this season.

Tommy Hawke (CF, Lynchburg): 2-5, 2 R, 2 K. 1 SB - Since last Saturday’s doubleheader, Hawke has been a force of nature at the plate, going 9-for-20 with four walks while also tearing up the bases with eight steals in as many attempts in those five games. Those eight stolen bases are part of an org-leading total of eleven that is good for third in all of the minor leagues but only second in the Carolina League (Royals OF prospect Asbel Gonzalez leads all of North American pro baseball with 15 thefts. (Yes, this includes Mexico as the LMB season opens tomorrow, so no one’s nabbed any official bags there yet.)

NOTABLE PERFORMANCES
Milan Tolentino (3B, Columbus): 1-2, 2 R, 2 BB, 1 K - Tolentino, the other Clipper to reach thrice on Wednesday, nearly doubled his season walk total (entered yesterday with three) in one contest.

Will Brennan (RF, Columbus): 1-5, 1 RBI - Brennan’s third-inning single not only gave the Clip Show the early lead but also extended his organization-leading on-base streak to twelve games.

Christian Cairo (SS, Columbus): 1-4, 1 RBI, 2 K - While this is a relatively unassuming statline, that hit and RBI are huge as he tied the game on a 96.3 MPH line drive to center in the bottom of the ninth.

Juan Brito (DH, Columbus): 0-3, 1 R, 2 BB (1 intentional), 1 K - Brito very well could’ve driven in the game-winning run, but after starting the plate appearance 2-0, Louisville reliever Luis Mey (figuratively) said “forget it” and intentionally walked him to load the bases.

Will Wilson (2B, Columbus): 1-5, 1 RBI, 2 K - That honor instead fell to Wilson, who completed the comeback with a missile to right field that topped the team’s exit velo chart for the day at 108.3 MPH.

C.J. Kayfus (DH, Akron): 1-2, 2 BB, 1 K - Kayfus’ org-leading hitting streak reached double digits in a performance that included half of the RubberDucks’ Wednesday trips to the basepaths.

Alex Mooney (3B, Akron): 1-3, 1 2B - Mooney’s fifth-inning double was the only extra-base hit the Mallards of Main Street would muster in last night’s shutout loss.

Tommy Mace (SP, Akron): L (1-2), 5.1 IP, 5 H, 3 R (all earned), 3 BB, 1 WP, 2 K, 1 HR allowed - Not a good outing, but one that would've kept the ‘Ducks in the game it the offense had done…anything.

Jaison Chourio (CF, Lake County): 2-4, 1 R, 1 RBI, 1 BB, 1 K - Chourio has reached safely multiple times in each of his last four games played, a stretch during which he has an .833 OPS despite not recording an extra-base hit (5-for-15 for a .333 AVG/SLG, with five walks - including three on Tuesday - making his OBP .500).

Jonah Advincula (LF, Lake County): 2-3, 1 BB, 1 K, 2 SB - Advincula continued an impressive season on the basepaths with his fifth and sixth stolen bases of the 2025 campaign on Wednesday.

Alberto Mendez (2B, Lynchburg): 2-4, 1 R, 1 RBI, 1 K - Mendez is off to an incredible start to his non-complex career, reaching nine times (five hits and four walks) in his first twenty plate appearances in front of paying fans.

Yaikel Mijares (3B, Lynchburg): 2-5, 1 R, 1 2B, 1 RBI, 2 K, 1 SB - Mijares has three two-hit performances, two of them including a double, in his first eight non-complex games.

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More Praise for Kayfus

18 MLB Prospect Performances That Could Mean Something—Or Nothing—Early In 2025

First on the list is:
Ready For A New Level?
C.J. Kayfus, 1B, Guardians
Kayfus hit an absurd .600 on balls in play through his first 11 games, and they weren’t exactly cheap. The 23-year-old, lefthanded-hitting first baseman already has four triples on his ledger. His lone homer came off lefty Cy Nielson, and he also notched hits against Pirates lefthanders Anthony Solometo and Hunter Barco, who aren’t easy at-bats. Kayfus has nearly as many walks (eight) as strikeouts (11). His over-the-fence power faced some questions entering the season, but Kayfus is a marvel to watch. He’s been on a heater for the better part of a year now and doesn’t have much left to prove at Double-A.