11779
by TFIR
For civ:
Omissions from Futures Game
Keith Law
Marcelo Mayer, SS, Boston: Ceddanne Rafaela is a solid prospect, but there’s no reason he should be here over Mayer, Boston’s No. 1 prospect and the fourth-overall pick in last year’s draft, hitting .294/.386/.527 as a 19-year-old in Low A even with a wrist injury that cost him a few weeks earlier this spring. He’s the second-highest ranked player from my preseason top-100 who is eligible for the Futures Game but not on the rosters.
DL Hall, LHP, Baltimore: The Orioles having just one player in the game is surprising given how strong their system is at the Double- and Triple-A levels. Hall just punched out 14 guys in Triple A last night, giving him a 37.6 percent strikeout rate at that level, and even with a way-too-high walk rate (14.4 percent), he has the kind of power stuff and high upside we want in this game — as well as the pedigree of a first-round selection. The O’s could also have sent last year’s fifth-overall pick, outfielder Colton Cowser, off to a strong start in Double A after a so-so stint with High-A Aberdeen.
Marco Luciano, SS, San Francisco: Luciano might be the most notable omission of all, but it’s due to injury. He’s been out for five weeks with a lower back strain and might not return to the field in time for the Futures Game, although he did appear in last year’s contest. With current Giants representative David Villar in the majors right now but listed on the roster, perhaps there will be an opportunity for Luciano to be added if he gets back sooner than expected. Other guys who belonged but are currently hurt include Grayson Rodriguez, Brennen Davis, Danny Espino and Brady House.
Noelvi Marte, SS, Seattle: Marte is the highest-ranked eligible player not on the rosters, perhaps because the 20-year-old has had a fine but unspectacular season so far for High-A Everett, hitting .251/.346/.407. If that’s the reason, it’s an overreaction to a small sample. The Mariners have just one player in the game, the oft-injured Emerson Hancock, who was the fifth-overall pick in 2020; Hancock’s season didn’t start until mid-May due to a lat strain he suffered in the spring, which came as he was building back up from a shoulder issue that ended his 2021 season. The AL does have a surfeit of middle infielders, however, and Marte’s omission might just be a function of getting every team a rep. I do think it’s inconsistent to ignore Leiter’s tough season to date but possibly hold Marte’s against him.
A second Met: Brett Baty? Ronny Mauricio? Alex Ramirez? The Mets’ system may be top-heavy, but that is good for the Futures Game selection process, where we want stars rather than just team representation. All three of those guys, who made my top-100 this winter, were probably boxed out by other players at their positions — but Mark Vientos, who plays third and first base, would help address the gap left by Villar’s promotion, and he’s a better prospect to begin with.
Colson Montgomery, SS, Chicago White Sox: Montgomery hasn’t had a game where he failed to get on base since April 23, before his brief IL stint, reaching safely in 42 straight games at the time of this writing. The White Sox first-rounder in 2021 has played outstanding defense at shortstop, was incredible in Low A, and earned a promotion to High-A Winston-Salem in late June, which hasn’t slowed him down one bit. Again, it could be a situation of too many shortstops, but he wouldn’t be out of place on this roster, and missing two of the best shortstop prospects in the AL (him and Mayer) is a bit jarring.
Gavin Williams, RHP, Cleveland: Williams was the Guardians’ first-round pick last year, dominated High A to start the year, and has been very good through four starts in Double A. He’s their best healthy pitching prospect with No. 1 starter stuff, but neither he nor command right-hander Tanner Bibee, who has seen a big velocity bump in the past year since he was their fifth-rounder last year, is on the roster.
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