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by TFIR
Rosenthal: The curious case of an accomplished free-agent pitcher still looking for work
By Ken Rosenthal 33m ago 4
Free-agent right-hander James Shields has been throwing for teams virtually every week since the start of the season.
Planned showcases?
“No, they just call me up and they want to come see me throw,” Shields says, chuckling. “I’ve thrown in front of the Tigers and Yankees and Orioles and Indians, you name it. I’ve thrown in front of quite a few teams, especially those I feel need starting pitching.”
The Rangers, as first reported by MLB.com’s Jon Paul Morosi, are another team that has scouted Shields near his home in San Diego. Yet Shields, 37, remains unsigned after pitching 204 2/3 innings with the White Sox last season and producing a park-adjusted ERA not far below the league average.
He knows he is no longer “Big Game James.” He has no intention of robbing a team like Jesse James. But here’s guessing Shields is one of the 150 best starting pitchers in the world, which is the minimal requirement to be part of a major-league rotation.
The average fan, increasingly stat-savvy and value-conscious, might cite the 34 homers Shields allowed in 2018, the second-highest total in the majors, or his 78 walks, the eighth-highest. Well, let’s check in on how some of the smarty-pants clubs are faring with some of the free-agent starting pitchers they signed last offseason:
Lance Lynn, three years, $30 million, Rangers: 5.75 ERA.
Matt Harvey, one year, $11 million, Angels: 6.94 ERA.
Trevor Cahill, one year, $9 million, Angels: 6.95 ERA.
Derek Holland, one year, $7 million, Giants: 5.34 ERA.
Shields, coming off a 4.53 ERA for the White Sox, is more accomplished — albeit older — than every one of those pitchers.
“Last year wasn’t the greatest year in the world. Obviously, our team wasn’t very good. We had 100 losses on the year,” Shields says. “Then again, I logged in 204 innings and did what my team asked me to do on a daily basis.
“I could have been one of those five-and-dive guys. But I had to pick up the slack for the other starting pitchers as far as innings to save that bullpen. I think my ERA definitely was skewed. And now I’m sitting here without a job.
“It’s frustrating as a player. I still have a lot left in the tank. Every scout I’ve thrown in front of, they’ve definitely been impressed, from what they told me, at least.”
And yet …
“I might be the first one ever to throw 200 innings and not have a big-league job,” Shields says.
Actually, Shields is not the only pitcher in that position. Free-agent left-hander Dallas Keuchel also worked 204 2/3 innings last season. But since the start of free agency in 1976, only two pitchers who were healthy — Doyle Alexander and Mike Mussina — did not pitch in a season after throwing at least 200 innings, according to STATS LLC. And that was because both retired.
Shields is six years older than Keuchel and not in the same class at this stage of his career. But he also is not looking for the same type of contract at a time when quality starting pitching again is at a premium because of injuries and poor performance.
Keuchel told Yahoo Sports that he wants a deal in line with “what the analytical data is saying,” presumably referring to the way teams use Wins Above Replacement and similar measures to determine player values. According to a Fangraphs metric that converts WAR to a dollar scale based on what a player would earn in free agency, Keuchel was worth $26.4 million last season and an average of $21.3 million over the past three.
The problem for Keuchel is that the market does not value him in that range and might not even after the June draft, when teams can sign him without losing a draft pick and the accompanying pool money.
Shields, who rebounded from two years of negative WAR to be worth $8.7 million last season, according to Fangraphs, is not subject to draft-pick compensation.
“I definitely am not asking for an outrageous salary, but I would want to be treated fairly for what I do and bring to a ball club,” Shields says. “My focus at this point in my career is to help a team win a pennant and get to a World Series.”
An official from a club interested in Shields says it is his understanding that the pitcher wants a guaranteed major-league contract, but that salary is not a primary consideration. Shields has earned $114.1 million in his career, Keuchel $30.6 million, according to Baseball-Reference.com.
“He’ll spend some time in the minor leagues getting ready, but he wants a (major-league) deal so that he doesn’t get stuck in minors all year,” the official says of Shields. “I’m shocked he hasn’t received it from someone. I don’t believe the money is much of a factor.”
The official saw Shields throw a few weeks ago and says he appeared to be in good shape. Shields, however, says he still has received “no formal offers.”
Not even offers of a minor-league contract?
“I definitely can tell you I’ve had no formal offers,” Shields repeats. “(Teams) have thrown a lot of things out there. But I’ve had no formal offers whatsoever.”
Curious, considering that 64 starting pitchers have gone on the injured list in the first six weeks of the season, according to STATS. Shields, who has been placed on the injured list only once in his career, for a strained right lat in 2017, has averaged 208 innings in his 12 full seasons.
Red Sox lefty David Price, Shields’ former teammate with the Rays, says the Sox players were talking about him on the bus to the airport in Chicago on Sunday, incredulous that he remained unsigned.
“James Shields is going to take the ball every fifth day and he’s gonna give his team a chance to win!!” Price said in a text message. “He’s the guy that teaches all the young guys the right way to go about their business. It’s a joke to me he doesn’t have a job.”
One old friend sticking up for another? Perhaps. But consider how White Sox manager Rick Renteria assessed Shields in a conversation with reporters at the end of last season.
“I think more than anything, when you see how he’s continued to pitch and work through all of the things he’s done over the course of his career, I think he’s been a big factor by example,” Renteria said. “He goes out there and shows you how to get through innings, grind through some rough outings and continue to eat up outs. I think these guys are seeing it. He’s been someone that’s shown them why he’s been around for so many years.
“I think these guys have taken on some of his personality, some of his traits. Hopefully, it’s something they can cling to and continue to help each other with. It certainly doesn’t hurt to have someone that’s something like that. He’s done everything he could to help with both between the lines and being in the clubhouse.”
Keuchel, according to pitcher Lance McCullers and other former Astros teammates, possesses some of those same intangibles, none of which is measured by WAR and other advanced metrics. Teams still might want “great clubhouse guys,” but they rarely pay extra for what those players offer.
For better or worse, the market continues to evolve.
Front offices have become more careful with their valuations since Shields signed a four-year, $75 million free-agent contract with the Padres in February 2015, entering his age-33 season. Teams are increasingly creative in the way they use pitchers, no longer bound by convention both at the start of games and at the finish. But the latest wave of injuries — and a constant shortage of pitching — would seem to reinforce the value of a workhorse, no?
“Baseball has got to understand that they have to rely on guys who can post,” Shields says. “Some of these GMs are starting to realize already that they’re kind of scrambling for starting pitchers, and where are they going to get it?
“I’ve seen guys from A ball getting called up — which is awesome for them, to get an opportunity to be in the big leagues — but at the same time, you need a guy to give you flexibility on a starting pitching staff, to eat up innings.”
For now, Shields is enjoying spending time with his wife, Ryane, and two daughters, Ashton, 15, and Camden, 9, at a time of year when he normally is away; he spoke on the phone Sunday after attending his older daughter’s volleyball tournament. He throws every day, uses Rapsodo pitch-tracking technology to monitor his bullpen sessions and sends video to clubs. But, he says, “There is going to come a time where I’m going to decide whether I’m going to shut it down for the season or not. I’m not going to continue to do this all year long. I don’t think it’s fair to me. I don’t think it’s fair to my family.”
That said, he does not consider retirement an option. He wants to pitch, if not this season, then the next.
“My process is still working,” Shields says. “To be continued.”
(Photo: Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images))
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