2051
by joez
2016 Prospect Watch: Top 10 left-handed pitchers
Dodgers' Urias again takes top spot, but Rays' Snell closes gap
1. Julio Urias, Dodgers
He doesn't turn 20 until August, and he's already knocking on the door. Urias has an outstanding combination of stuff and pitchability well beyond his years. He has three plus pitches with outstanding command. The only thing he doesn't have is innings. Urias has yet to top even 90 innings in a season, but that shouldn't hold him back for too long.
2. Blake Snell, Rays
Few prospects in the game improved their stock more than Snell did in 2015. It was a true breakout for the projectable lefty, one that started with a streak of 46 consecutive scoreless innings. It kept going as he dominated across three levels and led the Minors in ERA. He's ready to help out with the Rays now.
3. Steven Matz, Mets
It hasn't been the most direct path for Matz, who missed nearly three years of competitive pitching coming back from injuries. The wait was worth it, as Matz pitched his way to the big leagues and even into the postseason in 2015. The further removed from injury he gets, the more the concern about his durability dissipates. Matz is the only one on this list with big league time.
4. Sean Newcomb, Braves
The 2014 first-rounder is exactly what teams look for in a starting pitcher: Big, strong, durable and with plus stuff to boot. That's why the Braves wanted him in the Andrelton Simmons deal. He needs to improve his control, but when he does that, he has front-line starter written all over him. Those Jon Lester comparisons aren't too far-fetched.
5. Tyler Jay, Twins
Jay, the first 2015 draftee on the list, went No. 6 overall to the Twins. A reliever at Illinois, Jay has the repertoire and the command to be a starter, and that's how Minnesota plans to develop him. He could have at least four Major League average pitches with above-average control when all is said and done. The transition to starting might slow Jay's progress a bit, but it's also nice to know that if it doesn't work, he could have an impact in the bullpen in a hurry.
6. Josh Hader, Brewers
Hader's pure stuff has been in such high demand, he's been traded twice, first from the Orioles to the Astros, then from the Astros to the Brewers in the Carlos Gomez deal at the Trade Deadline last July. Milwaukee has him right as he's peaking after a huge 2015 season and an absolutely dominant performance in the Arizona Fall League. Once thought to be a future reliever, Hader now looks like he can be much more.
7. Cody Reed, Reds
Another on this list who took a huge step forward with his 2015 campaign, he's also one who was traded, this time in the Johnny Cueto deal with the Royals. Thought of as a projectable lefty when drafted, Reed has come a long way, with two plus pitches in his fastball and slider and a third average pitch (his changeup). Improvement in his command has him looking like a very solid big league starter in the near future.
8. Sean Manaea, A's
The big Indiana State product could've been the top pick in the 2013 Draft, but he slid because of injury concerns. Manaea missed the first half of 2015 with an unrelated injury, but he pitched his way to Double-A and was sent to the A's from the Royals in the Ben Zobrist Trade Deadline deal. He's a mid-rotation workhorse, at the very least.
9. Amir Garrett, Reds
A two-sport star who spent a couple of years shuttling between college basketball and the Reds' system, Garrett has started to take off since he turned to baseball full-time. Big, strong and athletic, the 2015 Futures Gamer still has considerable upside and a fresh arm because of his split focus in the past.
10. Kolby Allard, Braves
The second 2015 draftee on this list, Allard had the chance to go at the top of the Draft, until a back injury allowed him to fall to the Braves in the middle of the first round. He had surgery this offseason, and if he can put the back issue behind him, he has the chance to be a front-line starter, with an exciting combination of stuff, athleticism and feel for pitching.
2016 Prospect Watch: Top 10 right-handed pitchers
Giolito remains atop list, while Glasnow moves up to No. 2
1. Lucas Giolito, Nationals
Giolito could have been the first high school righty drafted No. 1 overall, but he injured his right elbow as a senior in 2012 and required Tommy John surgery. That didn't deter Washington from spending a first-round pick and $2,925,000 on Giolito, and the payoff has been an almost-certain ace with no discernible flaw. Giolito has a fastball that can reach 100 mph, a wipeout curveball and a promising changeup, not to mention command, size and smarts.
2. Tyler Glasnow, Pirates
Hitters never seem to square up Glasnow's fastball, which sits in the mid-90s with life and arrives on a steep downhill plane because he's 6-foot-8. It has taken Glasnow some time to grown into his large frame, but he has continued to improve his curveball, changeup and control each year, and he eventually should slot in behind Gerrit Cole as Pittsburgh's No. 2 starter.
3. Alex Reyes, Cardinals
Reyes gained little exposure as a New Jersey high schooler, so he moved to the Dominican Republic before his senior year and saw his stock skyrocket when he became a full-time pitcher. Reyes is still a bit raw, but he can hit 100 mph with his fastball and back it up with a hammer curveball. He was clearly the best prospect in the Arizona Fall League this offseason, though he also got suspended for 50 games after a second positive test for a drug of abuse that he says was marijuana.
4. Jose Berrios, Twins
Despite contending until season's end and needing rotation help, Minnesota curiously didn't promote Berrios, who led the Minors with 175 strikeouts and started his second consecutive SiriusXM All-Star Futures Game. The highest-drafted (32nd overall) Puerto Rican pitcher of all-time, he has the potential for three plus pitches and throws them all for strikes.
5. Jose De Leon, Dodgers
De Leon has skyrocketed from his lowly Draft status and a 6.96 ERA in his pro debut to leading the Minors with 12.8 strikeouts per nine innings and reaching Double-A in 2015, just two years later. De Leon's stuff and command have gotten a lot better since he improved his conditioning and mechanics, giving him a riding 92-96 mph fastball, a plus changeup and an effective if inconsistent slider.
6. Jon Gray, Rockies
The lone member of this list to have reached the Majors, Gray may have the best pure stuff in franchise history, with a heavy fastball that has been clocked at 102 mph, a nasty slider and a sinking changeup. Also the highest-drafted righty in the Top 10 (No. 3 overall in 2013), he'll need to refine his command to become a front-line starter and survive Coors Field.
7. Robert Stephenson, Reds
Cincinnati went with an all-rookie rotation in the second half of the 2015 season, and its most promising arm has yet to arrive but is on the verge. Stephenson has knockout stuff -- with a mid-90s fastball, a curveball that's devastating at times and a much-improved changeup -- though he doesn't dominate as much as he should because he's still figuring out command.
8. Dillon Tate, Rangers
The highest-drafted player to have come through MLB's Urban Youth Academy, Tate progressed from pitching just three innings as a UC Santa Barbara freshman in 2013 to the No. 4 overall pick last June. With his live 92-98 mph fastball, sharp upper-80s slider and athleticism, he could advance very quickly.
9. Carson Fulmer, White Sox
The ace of Vanderbilt teams that won the 2014 College World Series and finished runner-up in '15, he topped NCAA Division I with 14 victories and ranked second with 167 strikeouts last season. The No. 8 overall choice in last year's Draft, Fulmer has a mid-90s fastball, a power curveball and off-the-charts makeup, so he's on the fast track to Chicago, like Chris Sale and Carlos Rodon were.
10. Anderson Espinoza, Red Sox
The consensus best pitcher on the 2014-15 international amateur market already looks better than expected. Signed for $1.8 million -- doubling the Venezuelan bonus record set by Francisco Rodriguez 16 years earlier -- Espinoza advanced to low Class A at age 17 in his pro debut, hitting triple digits with his fastball and showing advanced secondary pitches and command.
2016 Prospect Watch: Top 10 catchers
Cubs' Contreras tops list, Yanks' Sanchez leaps to No. 2
1. Willson Contreras, Cubs
One of the top breakout prospects of 2015, Contreras led the Southern League in both batting (.333) and extra-base hits (46), and he set personal bests in most offensive categories. Signed out of Venezuela as a third baseman in 2009, he moved behind the plate in 2012 and has continued to make strides defensively. Contreras' athleticism and arm strength give him a good chance of sticking at the position, though his receiving still needs work.
2. Gary Sanchez, Yankees
Sanchez resuscitated his prospect stock last season between the Double-A and Triple-A levels, and he made his big league debut in early October. He then showcased his huge power and cannon arm in the Arizona Fall League, pacing the circuit with seven home runs and a 62 percent caught-stealing rate. Despite Sanchez's improvement as a blocker and receiver last season, questions remain about whether he will be able to catch every day in the big leagues. However, there's little doubt that he's ready to make an impact at the plate.
3. Jorge Alfaro, Phillies
Alfaro's 2015 season was derailed by ankle surgery in June, but the injury didn't stop the Phils from acquiring him at the Trade Deadline as part of the Cole Hamels blockbuster. Signed by the Rangers for a Colombia-record $1.3 million bonus in January 2010, Alfaro stands out for his raw power and arm strength, and he's arguably the best athlete on this list. His game still needs a lot of refinement -- he's overly aggressive at the plate and raw as a receiver -- but there's still time for him to develop into an everyday catcher.
4. Reese McGuire, Pirates
McGuire's defense still ranks ahead of his offense at this point, but the 14th overall pick of 2013 he made strides with his approach during the regular season and finished with a strong showing at the plate in the Arizona Fall League. He has good bat-to-ball skills as well as a knack for using the entire field, and the gap power he's shown thus far should improve as he becomes more selective. Even if the bat doesn't develop, McGuire's defensive chops alone could make him a big league regular behind the plate.
5. Tyler Stephenson, Reds
Regarded by scouts as the top catcher available in the 2015 Draft, Stephenson, whom Cincinnati took 11th overall, flashed his upside on both sides of the ball last summer during an impressive pro debut in the Rookie-level Pioneer League. A 6-foot-4 right-handed hitter, his hit and power tools have the chance to be at least average, and he already displays an advanced approach. Defensively, Stephenson possesses a plus arm and moves well for his size, though he has a ways to go with his footwork and receiving.
6. Elias Diaz, Pirates
Signed out of Venezuela back in 2008, Diaz, after parts of seven seasons in the Minor Leagues, finally made his big league debut with the Bucs in 2015. The 25-year-old profiles as a plus defender at the highest level thanks to his high-end blend of athleticism, receiving skills and arm strength, and he's widely praised for his ability to handle a pitching staff. Once viewed as an offensive liability, Diaz is now pegged by scouts for an average hit tool based on the huge strides he's made in recent years.
7. Dom Nunez, Rockies
The recipient of an above-slot $800,000 signing bonus as a sixth-round pick in 2013, Nunez has a gorgeous left-handed swing and mature approach, which highlight his potential to hit for average and power once developed. He played both middle-infield spots during his pro debut before becoming a full-time catcher in 2014. The athleticism and agility Nunez showed in the infield have helped him make strides as a blocker and receiver in a short period of time, and his catch-and-throw skills should improve with experience.
8. Jacob Nottingham, Athletics
The 2013 sixth-rounder emerged as one of the top offensive catchers in 2015, hitting .316 with 17 home runs and 33 doubles across the Class A and Class A Advanced levels. The breakout performance put him on the A's radar, and they acquired him from the Astros at the Trade Deadline in the Scott Kazmir deal. Nottingham has good bat speed and generates above-average power from the right side of the plate, driving the ball with authority across the whole field. His defense lags well behind his bat, though, and his blocking and receiving skills will need to improve considerably for him to stick behind the plate.
9. Max Pentecost, Blue Jays
The Blue Jays made Pentecost the highest-drafted player in Kennesaw State history in 2014, selecting him with the 11th overall pick. Unfortunately, he's played only 25 games since signing, as surgery to repair a partially torn right labrum in October 2014 and a subsequent cleanup procedure the following spring cost him the entire 2015 season. It's unclear at the moment how the injury might affect his projection as an everyday catcher, but Pentecost is a good athlete and can move to another position, possibly corner outfield, if he can't stick behind the plate.
10. Aramis Garcia, Giants
A second-round pick out of Florida International in 2014, Garcia has some natural hitting ability and showed more power last year during his full-season debut in the Class A South Atlantic League. The 23-year-old backstop has work to do defensively, especially with his blocking and receiving, but the catch-and-throw skills are there, and his average arm strength consistently plays up because his throws are accurate.
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“Every day is a new opportunity. You can build on yesterday's success or put its failures behind and start over again. That's the way life is, with a new game every day, and that's the way baseball is.”
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