Is this the most critical Cleveland offseason of this century? Plus trade targets and the shortstop situation: Meisel’s Mailbag
Aug 15, 2021; Detroit, Michigan, USA; Cleveland Indians starting pitcher Triston McKenzie (24) is congratulated by third baseman Jose Ramirez (11) after the eighth inning against the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports
By Zack Meisel Oct 19, 2021 9
CLEVELAND – There’s no time to waste. Let’s get to your questions (which have been lightly edited for clarity).
Zack, do you get the sense this is the biggest offseason for the franchise since the one before the opening of Jacobs Field in ‘94? With the rebrand, the lease extension, stadium upgrades and a cynical fan base, seems like ownership and the front office have a lot to deliver on with zero margin of error. Money is at the heart of resolving most of these problems. Is ownership prepared not only to add payroll to field a winning club but to fund the increased marketing cost to sell this rebrand? — Eric F.
No pressure, right?
I don’t think it’s hyperbole to make the argument that it’s as critical an offseason as the franchise has faced in at least a quarter-century.
The offseason after that dreadful 68-94 season and the dismissal of Manny Acta in 2012 proved important, too. They hired Terry Francona immediately and signed Nick Swisher and Michael Bourn to signal some operational change to the fan base. Those signings didn’t ultimately pay the dividends the team had hoped, but those were opportunistic moves intended to galvanize the fan base and launch a new era of Cleveland baseball.
Sound familiar?
This calendar year has included a trade of the face of the franchise, a microscopic payroll, a former coach’s off-the-field scandal, the polarizing replacement of a 106-year-old team name, the manager stepping away, three (and, really, four) no-hitters and a series of trades that converted the final two months of the season into a stretch of oft-unwatchable auditions. Aside from the lease extension, the Progressive Field newsroom has pumped out one negative news headline after another.
It’s imperative that the front office shoos away some of the storm clouds that have hovered over the franchise for the last year, that they supply reasons for people to discuss the actual players and outlook for the club, especially considering, with a few shrewd moves, this team can nudge its way into contention in 2022. The best way to unite the fan base and to guard against apathy is to attract customers to the product on the field. The best way to sell new team merchandise (and tickets) is to make a few moves that convince fans that bright days are ahead, whether that’s by signing José Ramírez to an extension, acquiring a legitimate corner outfielder who can hit in the middle of the order, swinging a couple of prudent trades, or all of the above.
I’m fairly confident, based on some late-season conversations, that the front office understands the assignment. I’m never sure if ownership has a full grasp of the pulse of the fan base.
No pressure.
I don’t get the concept of Amed Rosario “having earned” the shortstop job. I know the front office said it, but shortstop is THE most important defensive position on the field and I have seen with my own eyes that Rosario is vastly inferior here compared to other possibilities. Rosario has hit well for sure, but defense matters a lot. Does the front office really believe that his hitting will fall apart if he’s asked to move to second base or a corner outfield spot? He is athletic and willing and able to adjust, right? — Dave B.
It’s a complicated situation because it requires the team to accurately forecast how things might unfold this winter and next season. Everyone knows Rosario isn’t the preferred long-term solution at shortstop. He’s only temporarily at the front of the line. Gabriel Arias, Andrés Giménez and Brayan Rocchio are all better suited, defensively, for that position.
Rosario, though, has hit well enough to earn a spot somewhere, and they don’t want to officially move him elsewhere until:
1. Any of those other guys prove they can handle big-league pitching.
2. They understand the complexion of the roster following their offseason maneuvering.
The tricky part is they know they’ll eventually move him to a different position, so at some point, he’ll likely need to learn how to play second base or left field (unless he’s traded). He has demonstrated a willingness to embrace any assignment. But when do they send him the bat signal? They granted him only a couple weeks in Arizona last spring to take a crash course on manning center field, which was unfair to him.
Where will Amed Rosario play in 2022? (Justin K. Aller / Getty Images)
What’s your prediction for how the infield will look in 2024? — Michael K.
I’ll go in order of confidence, starting with Tyler Freeman at second base. I’m pretty sure he could hit .300 while blindfolded. After that, there’s a Franmil Reyes-sized gap in my confidence level. I’ll say Arias at third. Obviously, Ramírez could still don a Cleveland uniform at that point. Who knows? Let’s go with Rocchio at shortstop. This is truly a futile exercise. I loathe you for making me do this. I’m not sure where that would leave Giménez, who I think could have a breakout season next year. This team has too many middle infielders. Don’t sleep on Jose Tena, either.
And what’s wild about this prompt is, first base might be the most challenging spot to predict. It could be Bobby Bradley. Or Nolan Jones. Or Jhonkensy Noel. Or even Bryan Lavastida. Or an external addition. So I’ll say Josh Naylor.
Ask me again in an hour. I’m sure I’ll have four different answers.
Zack, if ownership can only afford to give one extension, the front office calls you and asks which player to sign, José Ramírez or Shane Bieber, what is your answer? Lastly, what does that contract look like? — Andrew L.
My answer? “Finally, you all have wised up and are taking my recommendations to heart.” I’d tell them to sign Ramírez. We’ll cover the specifics of such a deal in more detail in the coming days. The way Ramírez plays, the effort and energy and brainpower he’s supplied this franchise for years, he deserves it. He’s a perennial MVP candidate who has few, if any, faults in his profile. He hits home runs. He doesn’t strike out. He reaches base at a healthy clip. He steals a bunch of bases, despite unspectacular speed. He played Gold Glove-level defense in 2021. His teammates follow his lead. And the fan base deserves to watch him excel in all of those facets for another five years or so, especially since Ramírez is content to stay in Cleveland.
Imagine how many more Guardians T-shirts with Ramírez and No. 11 on the back they would sell if they ink him to a new deal this winter and fans no longer have to stress about where he might be playing three months, nine months or 15 months from now.
News came out about the Blue Jays calling the Indians inquiring about José Ramírez at the trading deadline. From Cleveland’s perspective, what would it take from the Blue Jays to trade him? (I realize that they want to extend him.) — Gil R.
Toronto is perhaps the team that makes the most sense as a trade partner. They were in on Francisco Lindor, too, and they have a bounty of young talent with which they could part.
But now is not the time. Check back midseason if Cleveland is floundering.
Thoughts on trying to trade for Cody Bellinger? Heard some buzz that the Dodgers are trying to move him this offseason. What would you be willing to give up to get two years of a former MVP? — Joey H.
If I operated a team that wielded plenty of financial flexibility — clearly the result of my idea of Jetflix, a global company that specializes in airport movie theaters, patent pending — Bellinger would be in my crosshairs.
He’s two years removed from being the NL MVP, and some of his 2021 struggles — and they were profound and alarming, no doubt — can be chalked up to injuries: shoulder surgery, leg fracture, rib fracture. He’s only 26 and he started his career with three prolific seasons, so there are no questions about his ability. He has two seasons of team control and can play first base or any outfield position. His potential value is sky-high.
The issue for Cleveland, of course, is the price. He’ll earn an estimated $16 million salary for 2022. If the Dodgers, a team that prints cash, dangle him on the trade market, does that mean they believe he’s damaged goods? They have a smart front office, so it would make me think twice. Plus, it’s not only the $16 million, which is already an uncomfortable financial risk for this organization, given a guy who posted a .165/.240/.302 slash line would be occupying perhaps 20-25 percent of the payroll. They would also have to fork over some players, assuming the Dodgers opt to tender him a contract rather than completely cut ties with him.
Cleveland needs young, controllable hitters. The Angels need a young, controllable pitcher. The Angels have outfielders to spare and Cleveland has pitching. Tell me a Jo Adell for Triston McKenzie trade doesn’t make sense for both teams? — Mike B.
These two teams have aligned for a long time, and there has been some level of mutual interest in the past. The Angels inquired about Mike Clevinger’s availability at one point. Certainly, the names Jo Adell and Brandon Marsh have surfaced during those conversations. Even if Cleveland isn’t keen on dealing from its starting pitching depth, there’s no harm in these two teams striking up another dialogue this winter.
Adell, the 10th overall pick in 2017, will turn 23 in April and has nothing left to prove against minor-league pitching. He posted a .703 OPS in 35 games for the Angels in 2021. Not too long ago, every outlet in the prospect rankings sphere placed him among the league’s top future stars. Marsh, a 2016 second-round pick, will turn 24 in December. He logged a .673 OPS in 70 games for the Angels this year, his first big-league experience.
The Angels also have Mike Trout and, for another year, Justin Upton in the outfield, and Shohei Ohtani at designated hitter when he’s not standing atop the rubber. Meanwhile, they ranked 12th in the AL with a 4.68 ERA, an issue that has plagued them for years. Cleveland, of course, sorely needs upgrades in left and right field. If I’m Antonetti and Chernoff, I’m first trying to package some prospects for a proven outfielder before I consider moving a starting pitcher. They’ll have more reliable rotation depth in 2022 than they did in 2021, but they still learned the hard way this year how critical that depth can be.
Is Luke Voit a possible target this offseason, given his relationship with the Yankees being strained and the need for a legitimate first baseman in Cleveland? Would love to see him with the team considering how abysmal first base was this year. — Mark T.
There’s no reason not to inquire. Voit’s career slash line: .267/.357/.510. He led the league in home runs in 2020. The Guardians, and most teams, could use that degree of production.
Voit didn’t fare as well in 2021, but he was limited to 241 plate appearances. He has three years of team control remaining, even though he’ll turn 31 in February. Historically, he hits the ball hard and does so with great frequency. His strikeout rate is below average, but nothing preposterous. He’s more well-rounded than the three-true-outcome type of hitter that has become more prevalent across the league, and a category Bradley, the clubhouse leader to start at first base in 2022, is trending toward joining.
The front office will prioritize outfield upgrades first and foremost, but there’s no downside to learning what it might cost to pry Voit out of the Bronx.
Can we officially declare ourselves the losers when it comes to the Dîaz/Bauers/Santana/Encarnacion deals? Was this a win for ownership financially, but a loss on the field? — Mark P.
Well, they completely whiffed on Jake Bauers, obviously. (His OPS did climb from .557 with Cleveland to .572 with Seattle.) Yandy Díaz’s on-base ability would have benefited a scuffling lineup the last couple years. The trade had several tentacles, so it’s not as simple as Bauers for Díaz. Even Cole Sulser, a minor-league reliever Cleveland sent to Tampa in the deal, submitted an eye-opening season (2.70 ERA, 2.98 FIP, 73 strikeouts in 63 innings) for the Orioles this year. We can’t ignore that Carlos Santana delivered his signature season — 34 home runs, a .911 OPS, his only All-Star nod and participation in the Home Run Derby in front of his home crowd — in his return to Cleveland in 2019. It was fueled, in part, by finances, but this probably isn’t the trade Antonetti or Chernoff have pasted atop the “Greatest Heists” section of their resumes.
When will The Athletic update the app from Indians to Guardians? And same with the team’s socials? Is there a specific date/deadline like right after World Series? — Francis B.
There will be a day in the next several weeks when all of the above takes place. On our end, there’s a bunch of internal website and programming work that must be completed. The team, meanwhile, wants to wait until after the World Series and for when they have some merchandise to sell and have their social media platforms ready.
Hey Zack, if we were to put together The Athletic combine, who would walk away as the consensus No. 1 pick? I got you over Zac in the 40 and Kelsey in the shuttle. Bench press and long jump is anyone’s game. — Alex A.
Tell Zac there’s a Galley Boy at the end of his running lane and he’ll rival Usain Bolt.