Cleveland Guardians show they have ingredients for October, but they need help
Jul 28, 2024; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Cleveland Guardians outfielder Steven Kwan (38) and outfielder Jhonkensy Noel (43) celebrate win against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. Mandatory Credit: Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports
By Zack Meisel
4h ago
PHILADELPHIA — Jhonkensy Noel grabbed some sunflower seeds in the visitors dugout Friday afternoon and then peered out at the unfamiliar field. The left-field fence at Citizens Bank Park is alluring for any right-handed slugger. The seats near center, a long way from home plate, present an enticing challenge.
This was Noel’s first trip to the Philadelphia Phillies’ ballpark, which hosted three sellout crowds over the weekend. When he visits a new venue, there’s one item Noel likes to check off his list.
“I want to hit one in every park I play in,” he said.
He was alluding to a home run, of course. And on Sunday, he powered the Cleveland Guardians to a series-clinching win against the only team with a better record. The behemoth nicknamed “Big Christmas” silenced a crowd infamous for booing Santa Claus.
The series served as a reminder that the Guardians — who, at 63-42, sit two games behind the Phillies for baseball’s best standing — can hang with anyone. They’re 28-20 against teams with winning records. It also offered reminders about where they need the most immediate help as the clock zips toward Tuesday’s 6 p.m. ET trade deadline.
1. The formula is simple, and it’s reminiscent of the recipe that propelled Cleveland to the World Series eight years ago: Hand the bullpen a lead and get out of the way. The Guardians’ pen boasts a league-best 2.47 ERA, and no one’s particularly close to them on that leaderboard. The Atlanta Braves (2.90) and Milwaukee Brewers (3.31) rank second and third, respectively. Cleveland’s group covered 5 2/3 innings Sunday and limited a high-powered Philadelphia lineup to one harmless single.
It has become, perhaps unfairly, predictable. Ho hum, another scoreless sixth, seventh, eighth and ninth, recorded mostly by pitchers who until late in spring training weren’t even expected to crack the Opening Day roster.
“They’ve done it to themselves,” manager Stephen Vogt said. “When they do give up runs, we’re like, ‘What happened?'”
Vogt, who spent last season as the Seattle Mariners bullpen coach, has masterfully deployed his relievers to find the best matchups at the right time. He summoned Cade Smith on Sunday to preserve a 3-3 tie. Smith could be handling the eighth or ninth inning for many teams. Instead, he entered in the fourth, as Vogt treated a Sunday in late July like an October bout.
Vogt turned to Hunter Gaddis, who lowered his ERA to an absurd 1.08, in the seventh instead of the eighth so he could face the top of the Phillies’ order — Kyle Schwarber, Trea Turner and Bryce Harper. A year ago, Gaddis was a struggling spot starter. Now, he’s a late-inning executioner.
“I would have loved to believe that (this was possible),” Gaddis said. “I don’t know if I really would have, but I would have loved to.”
Gaddis has allowed one run — one! — in 35 innings since the start of May. Gaddis, Smith, Tim Herrin and Emmanuel Clase all own sub-2.00 ERAs.
Steven Kwan admitted it’s easy to take the group for granted, assuming they’ll record nothing but zeroes each night.
“Even with that one-run lead,” he said Sunday, “it felt comfortable.”
This bullpen could be a massive advantage in the postseason, but the club still needs to shore up its pitching staff in other ways this week.
2. Trade conversations evolve by the minute at this point in the schedule. The Guardians have checked on a number of available starting pitchers, including Chicago White Sox right-hander Erick Fedde. Internally, they’re trying everything. But it’s not enough.
Tanner Bibee and Ben Lively have been the club’s two reliable entities in the rotation. The Guardians are hopeful Gavin Williams is on the way to joining them as he knocks off any rust remaining from a three-month absence.
Then, it gets messy. Carlos Carrasco’s ERA sits at 5.68. He’s 37. There isn’t more potential to unlock. The problem is, that’s not the only rotation spot in flux.
The Guardians have tried Spencer Howard, Xzavion Curry and Joey Cantillo in the final rotation spot in recent weeks. There’s still no answer. They’re taking it one start at a time, and assuming Chris Antonetti and Mike Chernoff watched their team over the weekend, there’s no way their longstanding desire to trade for a starter wasn’t strengthened.
There haven’t been many starting pitchers dealt, but that should change. Jack Flaherty is scheduled to start for the Detroit Tigers against the Guardians at Comerica Park on Monday night, but Detroit is almost certain to deal Flaherty prior to Tuesday’s deadline. The Houston Astros, Atlanta Braves, Minnesota Twins, Baltimore Orioles and New York Mets could all use a starter, to varying degrees.
Triston McKenzie (12 walks in his last two starts) and Logan Allen haven’t offered a ton of encouragement since being optioned to Triple-A Columbus. Just to survive 162 games, the Guardians need external help, even if it’s merely a mid-rotation play, someone like Yusei Kikuchi, a rental the Toronto Blue Jays are likely to move. Matthew Boyd should return in a couple weeks, but coming off Tommy John surgery (and being five years removed from his best season), expectations must be tempered.
It’s one thing to experiment with one rotation spot, but searching for answers for two spots puts a lot of strain on that dominant bullpen (and on a lineup that has been in a month-long slumber).
3. Speaking of which, the Guardians could use another bat, too. They did sniff around the Randy Arozarena market, but it’s unknown how close they were to landing him. Every team that misses out on a player wants it known it finished second.
The Guardians hope to get Josh Naylor back from injury Monday. Aside from acknowledging the bruise on Naylor’s right arm from being struck by a pitch, Vogt would only say the first baseman has been “beat up” for much of the year. They need him healthy and producing.
They also need to figure out if Kyle Manzardo can help them this season. Antonetti went out of his way last week to commend Manzardo on having “a really successful season,” despite an underwhelming first taste of the majors. The Guardians could have used his bat in Naylor’s absence, or when David Fry was battling arm soreness.
So, should they trade for another arm or a bat? There’s never been a more fitting time to ask, “Why not both?” They’ve been laying the groundwork with other teams to make upgrades for a month. It’s time to cash in.
4. Kwan socked his 11th homer in 319 at-bats this season Sunday. In his first two big-league seasons, he hit a combined 11 homers in 1,201 at-bats.
The keys for Kwan have been learning how he best functions as a hitter, understanding how pitchers prefer to attack him and capitalizing when he sees a pitch he knows he can drive. He spent his first two seasons, he said, trying to convert strikes into singles. Now, he’s spending more time hunting pitches he can damage. His pitch recognition and plate discipline afford him those chances.
He particularly likes to turn on inside pitches. He credits his “shorter limbs” for allowing him to yank a fastball off the plate. He deposited a 98 mph sinker in that area from José Alvarado into the right-field seats for the go-ahead homer Sunday. Alvarado watched video of the pitch afterward, noticed the location and said: “He’s lucky he hit it.” Well, no. That’s where Kwan prefers it.
“It’s just knowing yourself,” Kwan said.