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by Hillbilly
Minor Happenings: Frazier has been elite
Tony Lastoria Editor-in-Chief
The IBI's Tony Lastoria looks at how the tools and performance have finally come together for Clint Frazier and what has been the missing link that finally put him over the hump. He also looks at the surge from Dorssys Paulino and several other players.
Here we are with the first edition of Minor Happenings this week with a deep look at a few hot prospects in the Indians organization. I will follow up with our Pitcher of the Month and Player of the Week honors later this week.
Onto the Happenings…
IBI Hitter of the Month
(for July)
Clint Frazier (Outfielder, Lynchburg)
.363 AVG, 21 R, 7 2B, 2 3B, 3 HR, 17 RBI, 16 BB, 22 K, 6 SB, 1.000 OPS
The Indians had several good showings in the month of July with their bats from Triple-A Columbus on down through rookie Arizona. While there were certainly some disappointments from some higher level prospects, there were also a few surprise performances and several other nice showings from players who have continually gotten better as the year has progressed. Three of those players are at High-A Lynchburg and all were my top three choices for Hitter of the Month for June: outfielder Dorssys Paulino, first baseman Nellie Rodriguez and Frazier.
Frazier, 20, is having a very good season overall hitting .278 with 12 HR, 56 RBI and .817 OPS in 103 games. He’s also banged out 39 extras base hits (.168 ISO), racked up 52 walks and a .371 on-base percentage, and done some damage on the bases with 67 runs scored and 13 stolen bases. The numbers are especially impressive when you consider how hot he has been over the second half hitting .338 with 5 HR, 21 RBI and .986 OPS in 36 games since the All Star break compared to his first half numbers where he hit .248 with 7 HR, 35 RBI and .730 in 67 games before the break.
The difference is rather simple as Frazier has been more patient of late to wait early in the count for a pitch he can drive, consistently work himself into good hitter’s counts, and not expand the zone even with two strikes on him. The result has been a decent drop in his strikeout rate from the first half (24.3 K%) to the second half (19.7 K%) and a substantial increase in his walk rate from the first half (9.1 BB%) to the second half (15.9 BB%). His near 10% walk rate and 25% strikeout rate in the first half was solid and actually acceptable considering his ability to impact the baseball, but an improvement to a walk rate over 15% and a strikeout rate under 20% is near exceptional. With the ability to be a run producer and hit for a lot of power, that ability to control the strike zone, get on base and make more consistent contact make him an elite bat. And, thus, has him back on track as a top prospect in baseball.
The key to Frazier’s surge has been getting to just stop thinking about the home runs. Everyone knows that he has the ability to hit the ball out of any ballpark and the potential to hit for a lot of home runs, but it’s been something he has had to learn to come to him more naturally rather than try and hit them. That has been a tough process for him and something he struggled with getting used to and accepting last season and very early this season. He always had a lot of success as an amateur hitting for power and piling up homers that it was frustrating early in his pro career and he got himself out of his approach trying to hit homers. But now that he has settled in and gotten much better at staying more consistent with his approach to wait for pitches he can drive he’s really blossomed and shown himself to be the hitter that everyone thought he was coming out of the draft.
The question now is whether Frazier can maintain this approach. He obviously won’t hit over .350 every month from here on out or rack up a .440 on-base percentage every month as well, but if he stays within the zone and avoids the tendency to chase he can still put up high on-base rates even in months when the hits are not falling in. On top of that the power will flash more consistently and not just flash itself over one or two hot weeks.
With Frazier’s ability to play sound defense in the outfield, run the bases, hit for power and get on base, that’s a player that is well rounded in all areas of the game and who has the potential to really impact the Indians lineup in Cleveland very soon. This was a big stepping stone for him this year and one he needed to solidify his status and also regroup at the same time. He’s done that and has now given himself the foundation to let his tools at the plate begin to show more consistently (and naturally). While there is a chance he could join Double-A Akron at the tail end of the season, he should finish the season at Lynchburg and set himself up to start next season at Akron.
Honorable Mentions:
Jerry Sands (OF, COL): .333 AVG, 19 R, 6 2B, 5 HR, 20 RBI, 18 BB, 13 K, 1 SB, 1.068 OPS
Bryson Myles (OF, AKR): .316 AVG, 10 R, 5 2B, 1 3B, 2 HR, 15 RBI, 10 BB, 15 K, 5 SB, .885 OPS
Ivan Castillo (INF, LYN): .307 AVG, 11 R, 3 2B, 5 3B, 0 HR, 7 RBI, 5 BB, 11 K, 5 SB, .846 OPS
Eric Haase (C, LYN): .232 AVG, 12 R, 6 2B, 3 HR, 11 RBI, 12 BB, 26 K, 2 SB, .889 OPS
Dorssys Paulino (OF, LYN/LC): .337 AVG, 15 R, 7 2B, 2 3B, 5 HR, 19 RBI, 9 BB, 20 K, 7 SB, .973 OPS
Nellie Rodriguez (1B, LYN): .284 AVG, 18 R, 10 2B, 1 3B, 7 HR, 23 RBI, 12 BB, 28 K, 1 SB, .945 OPS
Mark Mathias (2B, MV): .320 AVG, 11 R, 6 2B, 2 3B, 1 HR, 11 RBI, 7 BB, 10 K, 2 SB, .815 OPS
Daniel Salters (C, MV): .323 AVG, 9 R, 2 2B, 0 3B, 1 HR, 4 RBI, 8 BB, 8 K, 0 SB, .820 OPS
Gabriel Mejia (OF, AZL): .354 AVG, 18 R, 5 2B, 0 3B, 0 HR, 10 RBI, 15 BB, 11 K, 22 SB, .881 OPS
Previous Winners:
June – Michael Clevinger (RHP, Akron)
May – Adam Plutko (RHP, Lynchburg/Akron)
April – Bruce Chen (LHP, Columbus)
Surging Paulino
As mentioned above, outfielder High-A Lynchburg Dorssys Paulino has played exceptionally well over the past month. The most impressive thing about it is that he left Low-A Lake County on a roll hitting .319 with a .852 OPS in his last 19 game before his promotion and has not skipped a beat once he got to Lynchburg as he is hitting .339 with a .990 OPS in the 19 games he has been there. That’s a pretty impressive last 38 games from him and something we have not seen since his pro debut back in 2012 at rookie Arizona. Overall this season, he is hitting .270 with 9 HR, 52 RBI, 14 stolen bases and .736 in 102 games, which is pretty good considering he got off to a very poor start in April (.164 AVG, .409 OPS).
Paulino, 20, is still young, something I think a lot of people forget. Sure, he spent two and a half seasons at the Low-A level and largely disappointed from a performance standpoint while he was there, but he was also very young for the league, was building his foundation and was finding his way as a player. He was a man with uncertainty about his position going into last season until the Indians moved him to the outfield. He is not going to be a Gold Glover in the outfield, but he has found a home there and it has helped him settle in and hone in on his offense. The kicker has been his more mature approach to the game this season where he is more willing to take instruction and make adjustments. It has allowed him to work even more on the mental side of things to have a better plan when he steps into the batter’s box for what pitches he is looking for early in the count and having a better understanding of how a pitcher is attacking him.
Paulino has had to shake the stigma of being labeled as a lazy player and for the most part he’s done that this season as he’s been a much harder worker on and off the field. The hope here is that he will continue his early success at Lynchburg to give him the springboard he needs into an important offseason and then a big year next year where he likely will open at Lynchburg and have a chance to re-solidify himself as one of the Indians best hitting prospects. He’s fallen hard over the last few years, but he’s still only 20 years old and has one of the most dangerous bats in the system. And even with all of the troubles at Lake County the last two-plus years he’s still well below the average age for advanced Single-A.
Parting Shots
- L-Rod Sidelined: High-A Lynchburg outfielder Luigi Rodriguez is temporarily sidelined with what has been described as a right hamstring strain. He hurt himself late last week when he awkwardly stepped on first base while watching a fly ball off his bat and has since been placed on the seven day disabled list, though is not expected to be on it long. The injury is unfortunate because he’s had such a great comeback season hitting .293 with 12 HR, 49 RBI, 24 stolen bases and .827 OPS in 92 games.
- Bradley Honored: Low-A Lake County first baseman Bobby Bradley was named the Midwest League Hitter of the Week after a huge showing this past week. In six games he hit .381 with 9 runs, 2 doubles, 4 homers, 9 RBI and racked up a .667 isolated power percentage in the process. The big week is yet another reminder of his potential and to be patient with him considering he is only 19 years old. Overall this season he is hitting .253 with 18 HR, 58 RBI and .830 OPS in 79 games.
- Newcomer: Double-A Akron shortstop Eric Stamets has since made his organizational debut with Akron after being acquired from the Angels last week in exchange for David Murphy. The Ohio native has played in three games and is 2-for-12 at the dish.